nba projections
resolve nba
We project every player and every team, and we call every game before tip-off. Then we publish how those calls turned out.
the ways in
how the calls have held up
what has changed
release notes
2026-06-27
release notes
v1.0: Methodology locked. Blurb shipped.
2026-06-27
methodology writeups
Every model change has to beat the previous version out-of-sample — anything that looks great in training but doesn't carry forward gets cut. What you see is what survived: small honest improvements, not flashy in-sample wins.
soon
model retrospectives
what we predicted vs. what happened. honest walk-backs included.