nba projections
ratings
Power ratings, off-season moves, real records, projected final records, seed and title probabilities for all 30 teams.
| # | team | conf | power | off-season moves | w-l | projected record | one seed | top 4 seed | playoffs | title | conf rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SAS | West | 100 | 41.3 | 1-2 | 58-24 | 28.9% | 75.5% | 95.3% | 19.8% | 36-14 |
| 2 | OKC | West | 93 | -23.2 | 3-0 | 58-24 | 27.7% | 73.3% | 94.4% | 13.8% | 36-14 |
| 3 | DET | East | 82 | 5.5 | 3-0 | 54-28 | 22.6% | 62.8% | 88.1% | 8.9% | 34-16 |
| 4 | NYK | East | 79 | -31.2 | 0-3 | 50-32 | 12.3% | 46.9% | 80.7% | 7.5% | 30-20 |
| 5 | BOS | East | 76 | 24.0 | 1-1 | 51-31 | 13.9% | 49.4% | 81.1% | 6.1% | 31-19 |
| 6 | TOR | East | 73 | 68.4 | 2-1 | 50-32 | 12.4% | 45.9% | 78.6% | 5.2% | 31-19 |
| 7 | PHI | East | 72 | 38.1 | 3-1 | 50-32 | 12.0% | 46.1% | 78.7% | 5.1% | 30-20 |
| 8 | HOU | West | 72 | 20.3 | 3-0 | 51-31 | 10.4% | 48.6% | 83.3% | 4.8% | 31-19 |
| 9 | MIN | West | 71 | 15.8 | 3-0 | 50-32 | 9.1% | 43.5% | 80.5% | 4.5% | 29-21 |
| 10 | ATL | East | 67 | 33.5 | 2-1 | 48-34 | 9.9% | 40.0% | 74.5% | 4.0% | 30-20 |
| 11 | DEN | West | 68 | 1.7 | 1-1 | 48-34 | 6.5% | 37.0% | 76.2% | 3.7% | 29-21 |
| 12 | POR | West | 63 | 31.2 | 2-0 | 46-36 | 5.7% | 32.5% | 72.8% | 3.0% | 29-21 |
| 13 | PHX | West | 61 | 39.2 | 1-1 | 46-36 | 4.7% | 30.3% | 70.8% | 2.6% | 28-22 |
| 14 | LAL | West | 60 | -27.8 | 3-0 | 46-36 | 5.1% | 31.3% | 71.0% | 2.5% | 29-21 |
| 15 | ORL | East | 57 | 0.0 | 1-2 | 43-39 | 4.7% | 25.4% | 60.7% | 2.0% | 27-23 |
| 16 | MIA | East | 55 | 26.9 | 0-3 | 42-40 | 3.1% | 21.0% | 55.6% | 1.7% | 25-25 |
| 17 | CHA | East | 52 | -75.2 | 2-1 | 42-40 | 3.9% | 21.7% | 55.3% | 1.5% | 25-25 |
| 18 | CLE | East | 50 | -40.5 | 1-1 | 41-41 | 3.2% | 19.9% | 51.9% | 1.3% | 25-25 |
| 19 | LAC | West | 35 | -80.0 | 1-2 | 36-46 | 0.7% | 8.5% | 38.0% | 0.4% | 22-28 |
| 20 | GSW | West | 33 | 3.1 | 0-3 | 34-48 | 0.4% | 7.1% | 33.5% | 0.4% | 21-29 |
| 21 | NOP | West | 30 | 5.2 | 0-3 | 33-49 | 0.3% | 5.1% | 29.1% | 0.3% | 20-30 |
| 22 | IND | East | 29 | 33.4 | 2-1 | 34-48 | 0.7% | 7.4% | 28.8% | 0.2% | 21-29 |
| 23 | WAS | East | 23 | 80.0 | 2-1 | 32-50 | 0.5% | 5.0% | 23.1% | 0.1% | 19-31 |
| 24 | BKN | East | 20 | 49.4 | 0-3 | 29-53 | 0.3% | 3.2% | 16.1% | 0.1% | 16-34 |
| 25 | CHI | East | 22 | -0.5 | 1-2 | 30-52 | 0.3% | 4.1% | 19.5% | 0.1% | 18-32 |
| 26 | DAL | West | 15 | -38.3 | 1-2 | 29-53 | 0.2% | 2.7% | 18.6% | 0.1% | 17-33 |
| 27 | UTA | West | 0 | -42.8 | 1-2 | 23-59 | 0.0% | 0.7% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 14-36 |
| 28 | MEM | West | 8 | -31.8 | 3-0 | 28-54 | 0.1% | 2.1% | 15.5% | 0.0% | 18-32 |
| 29 | MIL | East | 3 | -80.0 | 0-3 | 23-59 | 0.0% | 1.0% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 14-36 |
| 30 | SAC | West | 11 | -28.2 | 0-3 | 26-56 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 13.1% | 0.0% | 15-35 |
The rest of the league unlocks with any sports tier.
Every team's Elo, simulated win total with a 90% range, seed and title probability, plus projections across the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL and more.
Start a free week
Free account · one week free
power = strength on a 0–100 scale, 50 = an average team
Off-Season Moves = percentile shift from roster changes (July, preseason)
W–L = real record
Projected Record = real wins plus the rest of the season simulated, over 82; ± = 90% CI on wins (p5–p95)
Title = championship probability
Conf Rec = projected intra-conference W–L